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What's Actually Modifiable

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~40% of cancers are preventable

The American Cancer Society estimates 42% of US cancer cases and 45% of cancer deaths come from POTENTIALLY MODIFIABLE risk factors. That's a large fraction — and these are the ones you can actually do something about today, not wait for future therapies.

42% of US cancers preventable
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The modifiable risk list

Tap each factor to see its approximate contribution to US cancer burden.

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Fact

Alcohol is bigger than most people think

Even moderate drinking (1 drink/day) measurably increases breast, colon, oesophageal, and liver cancer risk. The 2021 WHO position: there is no safe level of alcohol consumption with respect to cancer. This is dose-dependent — less is better, none is best — but the cultural acceptability of moderate drinking makes this the most under-recognised modifiable risk.

No safe level WHO 2021 position
Insight

The infections people miss

HPV, Hep B, Hep C, H. pylori — four infections that together cause millions of cancers a year. All four are preventable (HPV + Hep B vaccines) or treatable (Hep C direct-acting antivirals, H. pylori triple therapy). Most primary-care systems screen for these only sporadically — ask.

4 fixable cancer-causing infections
Fact

Exercise — direct anti-cancer effect, not just weight

Exercise reduces cancer risk independently of body fat. Mechanisms: lower circulating insulin + IGF-1 (growth signals tumours exploit), lower estrogen exposure (relevant for breast + endometrial), better DNA-damage repair, immune surveillance via NK-cell recruitment. The 2019 Moore meta-analysis found leisure-time physical activity reduced 13 of 26 cancers by 10–42 % — the largest effect was oesophageal adenocarcinoma at –42 %.

13 / 26 cancers reduced by exercise
Takeaway

Key Takeaway

The cancer playbook is 80% the same as the cardiovascular playbook: don't smoke, stay a healthy weight, exercise, limit alcohol — plus vaccinate against HPV + Hep B, treat H. pylori + Hep C if present, and protect from UV. Exercise carries a direct anti-cancer effect beyond weight management. These aren't small levers. They're the main story.

References

  1. Islami — modifiable risk factors + US cancer burdenIslami et al., 2018
  2. Alcohol consumption and global cancer burden — Lancet OncologyRumgay et al., 2021
  3. Leisure-time physical activity and risk of 26 cancer typesMoore et al., 2016

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